Distortion in the operating mechanism of the fertilizer industry
2021-05-02 04:17:14
From the statistical data of the Chemical Industry Association, from January to July, the growth of the main raw material production of chemical bases was basically stable, but the growth rate declined. Among them, the output of chemical fertilizers, crude salt, calcium carbide, and PVC decreased, and the output of methanol production grew fastest. 21.9%.
The rain and snow weather at the beginning of the year affected the supply of chemical fertilizers and phosphate ore. The rise in coal prices has increased the cost pressure of fertilizer companies, resulting in a decline in the growth rate of fertilizer production. Intensified energy conservation and emission reduction, the calcium carbide industry bears the brunt of this, and the growth rate of calcium carbide production has dropped significantly. Supply has been tight, which has led to a drop in the downstream PVC production growth rate. The limited demand for chlorine indirectly affected the production of caustic soda and the growth rate of caustic soda production declined.
From January to July of 2008, the industry's investment in fixed assets maintained rapid growth. The chemical industry completed 267 billion yuan, an increase of 34.8%. Under the trend of declining demand growth, there was a possibility of excess capacity. From the perspective of investment structure, the current investment hot spots are basic chemical raw materials, special chemicals and nitrogen fertilizers, coatings and other industries.
Among the three fertilizer varieties of potash fertilizer, nitrogen fertilizer, and phosphate fertilizer, we are optimistic about the potash fertilizer with the strongest resource attributes. Because demand is still strong and there is a possibility of exceeding expectations, at the same time, we can be optimistic about the companies with resource and technology advantages in the nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer industry.
Regulation to limit export-oriented high tariffs to cut the natural growth of the population in domestic and foreign markets requires more food supplies. The increase in food consumption of high food consumption in developing countries’ diet has also increased human demand for food, while high oil prices have boosted The development of bioenergy. Food, fodder and bio-energy jointly promoted the continuous growth of global food demand and laid the foundation for the recent surge in international food prices.
The rise in global food prices has stimulated an increase in the supply of food production, which has led to a sustained increase in the demand for global fertilizers. Among the three major chemical fertilizers, the use of potash fertilizers in East Asia, South Asia and South America, and the higher potassium consumption by bioenergy and economic crops led to the fastest growth in potash demand, while the promotion of compound fertilizers and planting structure in China also accelerated. Domestic potash fertilizer demand growth.
Faced with the pressure of rising international grain prices and fertilizer prices, in order to achieve the policy goal of stabilizing food prices and isolate the negative impact of the global food crisis on China, China has adopted a series of measures to protect farmers from actively growing grain from nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium. For fertilizers, the current fertilizer industry policy is mainly to control exports through market-oriented measures to ensure domestic supply. By increasing export tariffs, the domestic nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer market will be isolated from the international market. It is difficult for domestic nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer companies to enjoy the prosperity of the global fertilizer industry. However, under the circumstances that coal, sulphuric acid, phosphate rock, and imported potash fertilizers have continued to increase the pressure on fertilizer companies, the industry's operating mechanism has been distorted. It is expected that the country will gradually adjust some policy incentives on the basis of strictly controlling exports. Corporate production enthusiasm.
The rain and snow weather at the beginning of the year affected the supply of chemical fertilizers and phosphate ore. The rise in coal prices has increased the cost pressure of fertilizer companies, resulting in a decline in the growth rate of fertilizer production. Intensified energy conservation and emission reduction, the calcium carbide industry bears the brunt of this, and the growth rate of calcium carbide production has dropped significantly. Supply has been tight, which has led to a drop in the downstream PVC production growth rate. The limited demand for chlorine indirectly affected the production of caustic soda and the growth rate of caustic soda production declined.
From January to July of 2008, the industry's investment in fixed assets maintained rapid growth. The chemical industry completed 267 billion yuan, an increase of 34.8%. Under the trend of declining demand growth, there was a possibility of excess capacity. From the perspective of investment structure, the current investment hot spots are basic chemical raw materials, special chemicals and nitrogen fertilizers, coatings and other industries.
Among the three fertilizer varieties of potash fertilizer, nitrogen fertilizer, and phosphate fertilizer, we are optimistic about the potash fertilizer with the strongest resource attributes. Because demand is still strong and there is a possibility of exceeding expectations, at the same time, we can be optimistic about the companies with resource and technology advantages in the nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer industry.
Regulation to limit export-oriented high tariffs to cut the natural growth of the population in domestic and foreign markets requires more food supplies. The increase in food consumption of high food consumption in developing countries’ diet has also increased human demand for food, while high oil prices have boosted The development of bioenergy. Food, fodder and bio-energy jointly promoted the continuous growth of global food demand and laid the foundation for the recent surge in international food prices.
The rise in global food prices has stimulated an increase in the supply of food production, which has led to a sustained increase in the demand for global fertilizers. Among the three major chemical fertilizers, the use of potash fertilizers in East Asia, South Asia and South America, and the higher potassium consumption by bioenergy and economic crops led to the fastest growth in potash demand, while the promotion of compound fertilizers and planting structure in China also accelerated. Domestic potash fertilizer demand growth.
Faced with the pressure of rising international grain prices and fertilizer prices, in order to achieve the policy goal of stabilizing food prices and isolate the negative impact of the global food crisis on China, China has adopted a series of measures to protect farmers from actively growing grain from nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium. For fertilizers, the current fertilizer industry policy is mainly to control exports through market-oriented measures to ensure domestic supply. By increasing export tariffs, the domestic nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer market will be isolated from the international market. It is difficult for domestic nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer companies to enjoy the prosperity of the global fertilizer industry. However, under the circumstances that coal, sulphuric acid, phosphate rock, and imported potash fertilizers have continued to increase the pressure on fertilizer companies, the industry's operating mechanism has been distorted. It is expected that the country will gradually adjust some policy incentives on the basis of strictly controlling exports. Corporate production enthusiasm.
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